TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Atlanta Falcons will win by more than 1.5 points against the Green Bay Packers. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 95.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the point differential in the ATL Falcons vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the fixture on September 24, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the point differential of the Pro Football game between the ATL Falcons and GB Packers scheduled for Sep 24, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold, and resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more points than the threshold listed. If no game occurs on the scheduled date due to official postponement or cancellation by the governing league, all markets will resolve as No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. Keep in mind that prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Falcons-Packers game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely game result.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Falcons-Packers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sports league and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Falcons or the Packers would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts for the game location could also impact the spread, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also lead to trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to establish positions.