TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief about outcomes. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasters without the profit motive of a traditional bookmaker, sometimes revealing different probability estimates. Comparing the two can highlight where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on the likely result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. As more traders accumulate shares for one outcome, the price adjusts upward, and vice versa. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trading demand throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the final score and official game result from the Athletics versus Tigers matchup. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout once resolution is complete and verified. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as new developments or updated forecasts emerge.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can significantly shift trader expectations and move prices. Weather conditions, travel delays, or venue factors may also influence forecasts. Recent team performance, head-to-head records, and momentum heading into the game typically drive trading activity. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often triggers sharp repricing as the market rapidly incorporates new information into odds.