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399,592

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Athletic Club vs. Vila Nova FC
kalshi
polymarket

Athletic Club vs. Vila Nova FC

Volume:
$265,997

Athletic Club Sjdr

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 10:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Athletic Club Sjdr

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98,259
N/A
N/A
$54,698
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Athletic Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vila Nova

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93,171
N/A
N/A
$77,553
Settled
No
polymarket

Vila Nova FC

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,288
N/A
N/A
$47,705
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Athletic Club vs. Vila Nova FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a soccer match between Athletic Club and Vila Nova FC scheduled for September 4, 2026, focusing on whether Athletic Club wins, the match ends in a draw, or Vila Nova FC wins within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves to Yes if the match ends in any result (win for either team or draw), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets each tied to a specific outcome.Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform hedging unless you account for Kalshi's all-outcome market structure. Polymarket requires precise outcome matching.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: one for Athletic Club win, one for draw, one for Vila Nova FC win. Each has specific rules for cancellations and postponsements.
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Athletic Club, Vila Nova FC, or a draw occurs. Does not differentiate between specific outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026 between Athletic Club and Vila Nova FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Athletic Club Sjdr versus Vila Nova Brasileiro Serie B match scheduled for September 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but before any extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Athletic Club Sjdr, a win for Vila Nova, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's procedures. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration, focusing only on the regulation-time result.