TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 11:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Serie B match between Athletic Club and São Bernardo FC scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides four goal-differential markets (Athletic Club >2.5, >1.5; São Bernardo >1.5, >2.5). Both platforms resolve on the 90-minute regulation result excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Athletic Club and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Athletic Club vs. São Bernardo FC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on the final goal differential in the Athletic Club Sjdr vs Sao Bernardo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count. Bettors can wager on Athletic Club Sjdr winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or Sao Bernardo winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, covering a range of decisive victory margins.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently due to their distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader supply and demand. On this market, odds emerge organically as participants buy and sell shares based on their own research and conviction. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, more dynamic adjustments to breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, weather—because traders update positions in real time. Comparing the two can reveal value: if a sportsbook's line diverges meaningfully from this market's consensus, it may signal an edge for informed bettors.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, suspensions, or surprise lineup announcements—which can shift scoring expectations sharply. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may also influence the likelihood of high-scoring or low-scoring outcomes. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any off-field controversies can trigger repricing as traders update their models. Close to kickoff, late-breaking tactical leaks or betting syndicates positioning large volumes often drive rapid price swings. Monitor team social media, sports news outlets, and this market's own price action for signals that consensus is shifting.