TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié
Volume:
$1,662,716
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Athletic Club and Real Betis Balompié.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Athletic Club win, Real Betis win, draw) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi offers a single market that resolves YES for any of the three outcomes (win, loss, or draw), making it logically equivalent to a guaranteed YES resolution.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally different from Polymarket's. On Polymarket, you choose which outcome you believe will occur and bet accordingly. On Kalshi, the market always resolves YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting on the match outcome. Do not treat Kalshi's market as equivalent to any single Polymarket market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible outcomes. Each market resolves YES for exactly one outcome (Athletic Club win, Real Betis win, or draw) and NO for all others. The resolution source is official La Liga statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope is 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If Athletic Club wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single market that resolves YES if any of the three outcomes occurs (Bilbao/Athletic Club win, Real Betis win, or tie/draw). This market has no NO resolution path for any realistic match scenario, making it logically equivalent to a guaranteed YES. Scope is 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Real Betis wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bilbao wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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