TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Athletic Club and Operário Ferroviário EC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Athletic Club vs. Operário Ferroviário EC match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Athletic Club and Operário Ferroviário EC, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Athletic Club vs. Operário Ferroviário EC match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, especially for niche outcomes like exact scores, where sportsbooks may offer limited liquidity or wider margins. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have priced differently.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the probability of each is derived from its current trading price. As more traders buy or sell a particular score prediction, the price moves to reflect the updated consensus. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction, making it easy to see which final scores traders believe are most likely.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Athletic Club versus Operário Ferroviário EC match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the exact final score at the end of regulation time, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Once the score is officially recorded and confirmed, this market will settle to the corresponding exact-score contract, and traders holding the winning position will receive their payout.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds for specific exact scores, since missing key players alters expected goal-scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence how traders reassess the probability of different final scores. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into particular outcomes often precedes broader market moves. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or tactical announcements may trigger repricing, especially for outcomes that depend on a team's attacking or defensive setup.