TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Athletic Club (Bilbao) and Elche CF scheduled for February 20, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets on the match outcome (Athletic Club win, draw, Elche CF win), while Kalshi offers a market on whether both teams score. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms reference the same match on the same date with identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), and cancellation/postponement logic is internally consistent across all markets.
Primary resolution logic:
La Liga official match records (laliga.com) and standard football match statisticsCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded
- Match date: February 20, 2026
- Polymarket win markets (Athletic Club or Elche CF): resolve Yes if that team wins, No otherwise
- Polymarket draw market: resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
- Kalshi both-teams-score market: resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal within 90+stoppage, No otherwise
- Postponement: all markets remain open until match completion
- Cancellation with no make-up: Polymarket win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes, Kalshi market resolves No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on a rescheduled date. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match completes.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's Athletic Club win and Elche CF win markets resolve No (no winner), the draw market resolves Yes (no match = no winner = draw-like state), and Kalshi's both-teams-score market resolves No (no goals if no match).
- Extra Time and Penalties: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Resolution is based solely on the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- Stoppage Time Inclusion: Stoppage time is included in the resolution window. Goals scored during stoppage time count toward the final result.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 20, 2026, or on the rescheduled match date if postponed. If canceled with no make-up, resolution occurs upon official La Liga cancellation announcement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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