TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Atalanta and Cagliari. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcomes reflect the collective scoring performance of both teams within regular time.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Atalanta vs Cagliari professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, counting only those scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all calculations. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals) and resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular goal total is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and influences market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Atalanta vs Cagliari match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The closer we get to the match, the more sensitive the price will likely be to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be the total number of goals scored in the Atalanta vs Cagliari match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goal count will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Cagliari would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable football experts and any unexpected lineup announcements could all contribute to price fluctuations on Kalshi as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.