TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory should either team win the match. Outcomes depend on whether Atalanta achieves a decisive win or if Bologna dominates convincingly, with different thresholds applying to each potential winner's performance.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Atalanta or Bologna wins the match during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. For Atalanta, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals. For Bologna, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The referenced game is the professional Serie A fixture originally scheduled for August 31, 2026. Kalshi emphasizes it has no official connection to the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders watch both sources to spot discrepancies, but the dynamics of each market mean they rarely align perfectly.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match score and any adjustments, such as penalty decisions or added time goals, that affect the spread. Traders can monitor news and official league announcements to anticipate when the final confirmation will occur.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, changes to team lineups, weather conditions on game day, and tactical announcements from coaches. High-profile performances in earlier matches by either team may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments — such as a star player being benched or a last-minute coaching change — can cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess probabilities.