TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.3b

24H VOL:

$198,896,558

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,591,877

500,572

Markets across

13,691

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,797

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio

Volume:
$1,484,073
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Atalanta BC and Udinese Calcio scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (Atalanta win, Udinese win, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same event (Atalanta vs Udinese on 2026-03-07 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time) using identical timing windows and official sources, though Kalshi's market structure differs in that all three outcomes resolve Yes, while Polymarket offers directional binary markets for each outcome.

Primary resolution logic:

Official Lega Serie A statistics published at legaseriea.it; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Atalanta win, Udinese win, or draw
  • Atalanta win resolves Yes on Polymarket Atalanta market and No on Udinese and draw markets
  • Udinese win resolves Yes on Polymarket Udinese market and No on Atalanta and draw markets
  • Draw resolves Yes on Polymarket draw market and No on Atalanta and Udinese markets
  • Kalshi market resolves Yes for any of the three outcomes (Atalanta win, Udinese win, or draw)
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket Atalanta and Udinese markets resolve No; Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi market resolves Yes

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket treats this as a non-event: Atalanta and Udinese win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi's all-outcome market resolves Yes.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible sports reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets, official team announcements).
  • Stoppage Time Clarification: Resolution includes all stoppage time added by the referee at the end of the 90-minute period. Goals scored during stoppage time count toward the final result.

Timing:

Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official Lega Serie A statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. If the match is postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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