TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne and KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (ASVEL win and Crvena Zvezda win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive categorical resolution, which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded in its current form. The platform must clarify whether it intends a Yes/No binary (in which case one outcome should resolve No) or a categorical market. Polymarket's structure is the only logically valid framework available. Wait for Kalshi clarification before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Dual Yes-resolution rule creates logical impossibility. Both ASVEL win and Crvena Zvezda win trigger Yes. No No outcome is defined. Quote: 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Mutually exclusive categorical resolution. ASVEL victory resolves to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne; Crvena Zvezda victory resolves to KK Crvena Zvezda. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne. If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.