TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
kalshi
polymarket

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda

Volume:
$236,014

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade

 - Kalshi

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 10, 5:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$132,358
N/A
N/A
$84,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,157
N/A
N/A
$49,930
Settled
No
polymarket

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne and KK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade scheduled for April 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (ASVEL win and Crvena Zvezda win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses mutually exclusive categorical resolution, which is logically sound.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded in its current form. The platform must clarify whether it intends a Yes/No binary (in which case one outcome should resolve No) or a categorical market. Polymarket's structure is the only logically valid framework available. Wait for Kalshi clarification before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Dual Yes-resolution rule creates logical impossibility. Both ASVEL win and Crvena Zvezda win trigger Yes. No No outcome is defined. Quote: 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Mutually exclusive categorical resolution. ASVEL victory resolves to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne; Crvena Zvezda victory resolves to KK Crvena Zvezda. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne. If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.