TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Women's Super League game between Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa WFC" if Aston Villa WFC score more goals than Manchester City WFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City WFC" if Manchester City WFC score more goals than Aston Villa WFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Women's Super League game between Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa WFC" if Aston Villa WFC score more goals than Manchester City WFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City WFC" if Manchester City WFC score more goals than Aston Villa WFC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion between prediction market participants and sportsbook bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and traders can adjust their positions as new information becomes available, influencing the overall market price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City second half is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result as reported by the governing football league, and the market will settle based on which outcome – Aston Villa win, Manchester City win, or a draw – actually occurred during those 45 minutes of play. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aston Villa or Manchester City would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even in-game events like early goals or red cards, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even changes in public perception based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to movement in the market's price. The overall volume of $973 will also indicate how sensitive the market is to new information.