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Aston Villa WFC vs. Manchester City WFC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Aston Villa WFC vs. Manchester City WFC?

Volume:
$118,306

Manchester City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,101
N/A
N/A
$9,768
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester City WFC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aston Villa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,855
N/A
N/A
$39,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Aston Villa WFC

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,356
N/A
N/A
$29,032
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Aston Villa WFC vs. Manchester City WFC)

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Women's Super League soccer match between Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC on September 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Aston Villa will win, Manchester City will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not specify cancellation handling.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may remain open or resolve unpredictably if a cancellation occurs. Polymarket offers more clarity in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Focuses solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is defined. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result of the Aston Villa vs Manchester City professional English Womens Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Women's Super League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Aston Villa WFC and Manchester City WFC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Aston Villa vs Manchester City professional English Womens Super League match scheduled for September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when either team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the specific market (Aston Villa, Manchester City, or Tie) resolving accordingly. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers results from regular time; extra time or penalty shootouts do not affect market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. While both attempt to forecast the result, the mechanisms and underlying philosophies differ, potentially resulting in varied probabilities for this market.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, leading to price discrepancies. For example, if there’s significantly more trading activity on Polymarket, its price may be more responsive to new information. Different interpretations of available data and varying risk appetites among traders on each platform also contribute to these differences for this market.