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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Spread
kalshi
limitless

What is the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Volume:
$55,980

Nottingham Forest wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Nottingham Forest wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 12:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nottingham Forest wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,180
N/A
N/A
$24,453
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,953
N/A
N/A
$9,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottingham Forest wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,865
N/A
N/A
$4,773
Settled
No
limitless

Nottingham Forest to win by 2 or more goals vs Aston Villa?

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,981
N/A
N/A
$1,510
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group forecasts whether either Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest will win the EPL soccer match on September 12, 2026, by a margin of 2 or more goals. The markets consider the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The goal spread required for a positive resolution differs between Kalshi and Limitless, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Consider the differing goal spread requirements when making your predictions. Kalshi requires a larger margin of victory for a 'Yes' resolution than Limitless, particularly for Aston Villa wins.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: The market resolves to Yes if either Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals or Nottingham Forest wins by more than 2.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. "If Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • limitless: The market resolves to Yes if Nottingham Forest wins by 2 or more goals against Aston Villa during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). "Nottingham Forest to win by 2 or more goals vs Aston Villa?"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the margin of victory in the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest EPL match scheduled for September 12, 2026. All resolutions occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Nottingham Forest wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario represents a specific threshold for victory margin, allowing for varied interpretations of a decisive win. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if Nottingham Forest wins by 2 or more goals against Aston Villa during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Premier League match scheduled for September 12, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than November 12, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal risk assessments, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly for events with a large number of participants and readily available information. However, this market’s volume of $55,980 is still relatively low, so differences may be minimal.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Limitless for the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $55,980 overall—is not evenly distributed. Kalshi may attract more sophisticated traders, while Limitless might have a broader, less experienced participant pool. These differences in trader composition and activity can lead to varying assessments of the probability of different outcomes in this market.