TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$13,415
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group resolves based on the halftime result of the Aston Villa vs. Sunderland EPL match scheduled for April 19, 2026. The outcome is determined after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, capturing whether Aston Villa wins, Sunderland wins, or the teams tie at the halfway point of the match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Aston Villa win, Sunderland win, or draw), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive YES/NO outcomes, creating a fundamental structural contradiction between platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it is unresolvable as written. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate markets (Aston Villa leading, Draw, Sunderland leading), where exactly one will resolve YES and two will resolve NO based on the actual halftime result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution rules, all resolving to YES: 'If Aston Villa is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Sunderland is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES regardless of outcome.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Aston Villa leading at halftime resolves YES only if Aston Villa wins first half, NO otherwise; (2) Draw at halftime resolves YES only if halftime ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Sunderland leading at halftime resolves YES only if Sunderland wins first half, NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES based on actual halftime outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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