TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets
Volume:
$629,897
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple prediction markets on the FA Cup match between Aston Villa FC and Newcastle United FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets include spread bets, over/under totals on combined goals, and a both-teams-to-score market, all resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on using the official FA Cup final score from thefa.com after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements, cancellations, and incomplete games.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FA Cup records published on thefa.comCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Newcastle wins by more than 2.5 goals resolves Yes on Kalshi market 1
- Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals resolves Yes on Kalshi market 2
- Newcastle wins by more than 1.5 goals resolves Yes on Kalshi market 3
- Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals resolves Yes on Kalshi market 4
- Polymarket O/U 1.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
- Polymarket O/U 2.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
- Polymarket O/U 3.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
- Polymarket O/U 4.5 resolves Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
- Polymarket Spread Aston Villa (-1.5) resolves to Aston Villa if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Newcastle
- Polymarket Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if both teams score at least one goal, No if either team scores zero
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; no early resolution occurs
- Game Cancellation: If canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Incomplete Game: If the game is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score published on thefa.com at that point
- Extra Time and Penalties: These are explicitly excluded from all resolution criteria; only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on February 14, 2026, based on the official final score published on thefa.comOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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