TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$3,854

Chelsea FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chelsea FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chelsea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Villa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC EPL match scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets track which team (if any) is leading after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The group includes binary markets on each team winning at halftime and a draw outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market as written will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual halftime result. Disregard Kalshi's market structure entirely and rely on Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Chelsea leading, Aston Villa leading, Draw) which follow standard prediction market logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes (Aston Villa win, Chelsea win, Tie) to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Aston Villa is the winner...then Yes. If Chelsea is the winner...then Yes. If Tie...then Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive Yes/No logic. Chelsea leading market resolves Yes only if Chelsea leads at halftime; Aston Villa market resolves Yes only if Aston Villa leads; Draw market resolves Yes only if halftime is tied. Standard binary structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.