TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC
Volume:
$3,364,411
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of an English Premier League match between Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Three markets track the three possible match outcomes: Chelsea win, draw, or Aston Villa win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, same postponement and cancellation rules, and consistent primary source (Premier League official statistics).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics (premierleague.com); if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome resolved based on result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Chelsea win market resolves Yes if Chelsea scores more goals than Aston Villa; otherwise No
- Aston Villa win market resolves Yes if Aston Villa scores more goals than Chelsea; otherwise No
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Chelsea win and Aston Villa win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Chelsea win resolves No, Aston Villa win resolves No, and draw resolves Yes.
- Resolution source delay: If Premier League official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
- Scope: Regular play only: Resolution is based strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Premier League statistics are published, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if official statistics are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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