TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC
polymarket
kalshi

Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC

Volume:
$3,364,411

Chelsea

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chelsea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$826,504
N/A
N/A
$514,178
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chelsea FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$678,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,111,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Villa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429,336
N/A
N/A
$271,729
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211,599
N/A
N/A
$128,946
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an English Premier League match between Aston Villa FC and Chelsea FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Three markets track the three possible match outcomes: Chelsea win, draw, or Aston Villa win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, same postponement and cancellation rules, and consistent primary source (Premier League official statistics).Primary resolution logic: Official Premier League statistics (premierleague.com); if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome resolved based on result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
  • Chelsea win market resolves Yes if Chelsea scores more goals than Aston Villa; otherwise No
  • Aston Villa win market resolves Yes if Aston Villa scores more goals than Chelsea; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Chelsea win and Aston Villa win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Chelsea win resolves No, Aston Villa win resolves No, and draw resolves Yes.
  • Resolution source delay: If Premier League official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
  • Scope: Regular play only: Resolution is based strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Premier League statistics are published, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if official statistics are unavailable and credible reporting consensus is used.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.