TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Takuya Kumasaka and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Takuya Kumasaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time information flow. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and historical trends, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, who can react instantly to new data. This can create divergence, especially as fight-related updates emerge. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value shifts or sentiment trends before Aug 19, 2026.
On Polymarket, this market uses a decentralized betting pool where traders buy and sell shares representing either fighter’s chances to win. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting in real time as new information emerges about fighter form, injuries, or changes in strategy. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market depth and liquidity are influenced by total volume of $88,711, which can shift pricing dynamics as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the fight result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official scorecards, knockout, submission, or any other method that ends the contest definitively, mirroring real-world sports governance.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media coverage, trainer updates, weigh-in results, and any last-minute injuries or changes to fight conditions. Significant betting trends on Polymarket may also reflect new information and drive price adjustments. As Aug 19, 2026 approaches, any announcement affecting fighter readiness or public perception will likely cause rapid shifts in the top outcome’s implied chance and overall volume.