TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the second set of the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Maxim Zhukov at Astana will have over or under 8.5 games. On Polymarket, the leading outcome has a current probability of 100%. The resolution source is the ATP Tour official website. Watch for the match conclusion on August 17, 2026, which will determine the outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Maxim Zhukov in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Maxim Zhukov. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust continuously based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and information flow. While sportsbooks may set fixed lines based on analyst assessments, this market captures crowd-sourced forecasts that respond instantly to new data. Traders often see sharper or more volatile pricing compared to conventional sports betting platforms, especially as fight specifics or fighter conditions evolve.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the bout, reflecting the definitive winner as reported through trusted sports news outlets and event organizers.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-fight media coverage, fighter injuries or changes to the match, betting trends, and analyst predictions. Any update that alters the perceived likelihood of a particular outcome—such as a fighter gaining favor in the lead-up or a training camp advantage—can cause rapid price movements on Polymarket as traders react.