TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 5:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Kasidit Samrej in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Kasidit Samrej. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergey Fomin and Kasidit Samrej in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Kasidit Samrej. This market will resolve to 'Kasidit Samrej' if Kasidit Samrej advances against Sergey Fomin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and information inputs. Traders on Polymarket may price in nuances such as recent training updates or psychological factors that sportsbooks might not fully reflect, potentially creating mispricings or early signals for sharp bettors.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set the odds for this market through their bets, which determines the current implied probability. The platform aggregates these positions to generate a continuously updating price, displayed as a percentage chance of each possible outcome occurring. This price reflects the collective wisdom of Polymarket users and can shift rapidly with new betting activity, news about the fighters, or changing expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the officially declared winner of the contest, ensuring alignment with real-world proceedings and public records.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 20, 2026. Key fighter injuries, changes to the match venue or timing, and pre-fight media events that highlight performance or strategy can all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, betting trends on Polymarket—such as large positions taken by high-volume users—may cause price swings. Public analysis from sports experts or updates from the boxing organization overseeing the bout can also affect expectations and move the odds.