TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Astana FK and FC Dinamo City, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Astana FK and FC Dinamo City, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Astana FK vs. FC Dinamo City match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on their forecasts. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time, sometimes offering sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds may reflect deeper liquidity or specialized sports expertise in certain matchups. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value in either venue.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker and order-book mechanisms. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline is priced independently based on the volume and conviction of buy and sell orders, so heavily backed outcomes trade higher than those with less interest. As match details emerge—team news, injury reports, or betting patterns—prices shift to reflect updated expectations. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes and selling overvalued ones, which naturally drives prices toward fair value. The continuous repricing mechanism ensures this market remains responsive to new information right up to kickoff.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Astana FK versus Dinamo City match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline at the end of regular time (or as defined by the competition rules). Only the exact final score determines which position resolves to 100 cents; all other outcomes settle to zero. Traders holding the correct scoreline receive their payout automatically once verification is complete and the market is officially settled.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, lineup changes, or managerial shifts—can significantly reprrice exact-score odds, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move prices hours before kickoff as they deploy research-backed positions. Public sentiment and casual trader activity can also create volatility, especially around major tournaments or derbies. Odds may also shift if one team is mathematically eliminated from playoff contention or if external factors affect motivation. Monitoring pre-match press conferences and official team announcements is key to spotting moves before they're fully priced in.