TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 4:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Fajing Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Fajing Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to pay based on their own research and expectations, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines. This market may show sharper or more volatile shifts as traders react to new information, whereas sportsbooks may smooth probabilities to manage risk. Comparing the two can reveal where public trader sentiment strongly diverges from institutional pricing models.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the fight result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner and any relevant match details are checked against reliable news sources and official records to close all positions and determine payouts for participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, training performance reports, changes in fighter rankings, and pre-fight media events that affect public perception. Any announcement about fight logistics, such as venue changes or rule modifications, may also cause rapid price swings as traders reassess probabilities in real time.