TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Sergey Fomin in Astana, with the current probability on Polymarket set at 100.0%. Resolution will be based on official results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET, is a key catalyst to watch for the final resolution of this market, expected by August 22, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Sergey Fomin in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Sergey Fomin. This market will resolve to 'Sergey Fomin' if Sergey Fomin advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds from this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific insights. While sportsbooks set fixed prices based on broader analytics, this market lets participants bet based on their own research and real-time data. The gap can widen if unexpected news emerges, such as training updates or injury reports. Traders here may price in nuances not fully reflected in sportsbook odds, creating potential value for those who follow both sides closely.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the officially recognized contest outcome, ensuring transparency and alignment with real-world events. Traders can track news and official announcements as the date approaches, but the final settlement will match publicly available results from authoritative sources.
Key signals such as fight announcements, participant injuries, training updates, and promotional events could shift this market as the resolution date nears. Media coverage and expert analysis may also influence trader sentiment. Any development that changes the perceived likelihood of each fighter winning has the potential to move prices rapidly on Polymarket, especially with $611,390 in daily trading volume reacting to new information.