TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista
kalshi
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista

Volume:
$384,805

Draw (Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,715
N/A
N/A
$38,539
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corinthians

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116,735
N/A
N/A
$81,869
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chapecoense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,222
N/A
N/A
$33,293
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and SC Corinthians Paulista scheduled for March 19, 2026. Markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Chapecoense win, a Corinthians win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Resolution depends on the official match result as published by the CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) or credible consensus reporting if official statistics are delayed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. All three Kalshi markets (Tie, Corinthians win, Chapecoense win) resolve to YES for any outcome, making it impossible to determine which market should actually settle YES. Polymarket provides three mutually exclusive, well-defined markets (Corinthians win, Chapecoense win, Draw) that correctly partition all possible outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a critical logical flaw that makes settlement ambiguous. Polymarket's three markets are properly structured and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi before the match occurs, as settlement may be disputed or reversed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets, each resolving YES if its named outcome occurs (Tie, Corinthians win, or Chapecoense win). This creates a logical contradiction because exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, meaning all three markets would resolve YES simultaneously. The rules state 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Corinthians wins... then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If Chapecoense wins... then the market resolves to Yes' — but only one outcome is possible per match, yet all three markets are structured as independent YES/NO resolutions rather than as a single three-way outcome market.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive markets (Corinthians win, Chapecoense win, Draw) that partition all possible match outcomes. Each market resolves YES or NO based on whether its specific outcome occurs, with exactly one market resolving YES per match. The rules state 'If SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and similar for Chapecoense and Draw, ensuring logical consistency and resolvability.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.