TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia?

Volume:
$511,247

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 12:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$104,149
N/A
N/A
$56,419
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia)

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chapecoense

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$167,515
N/A
N/A
$90,638
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bahia

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,439
N/A
N/A
$67,799
Settled
No
polymarket

EC Bahia

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and EC Bahia scheduled for August 16, 2026. The markets focus on determining the winner or if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the same criteria: the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using the same primary resolution source and handling edge cases consistently.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • If the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game has been completed
  • Cancellation: For win markets, resolves to No. For draw market, resolves to Yes if no make-up game
Timing: Within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official statistics or credible reporting as a fallbackOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, August 16, 2026 between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and EC Bahia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Chapecoense vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Chapecoense wins, the 'Chapecoense' market resolves to Yes; if Bahia wins, the 'Bahia' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the outcome within regular time, with no consideration given to post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Chapecoense vs. Bahia match outcome market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different results. It displays consensus views and divergences across platforms, letting you see overall volume of $511,247 and recent 24-hour volume of $509,948. This centralized view helps you spot trends and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users are positioning themselves ahead of the match.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or strategic changes by coaches can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. Media narratives and pre-match betting trends on Polymarket and Kalshi often create momentum swings. Additionally, any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical shifts may cause rapid adjustments in implied probabilities, especially as the match date approaches.