TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 9:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different pricing model than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks apply fixed margins and employ oddsmakers, this market is priced by traders themselves, creating a dynamic supply-and-demand mechanism. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing because they aggregate dispersed information from many participants. However, sportsbook odds may include additional factors like promotional adjustments or risk management strategies, so direct comparison requires examining both venues side by side.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the price adjusts continuously based on order flow and available liquidity. The top outcome currently reflects strong market consensus, meaning traders have concentrated their positions around a particular scenario. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without intermediaries setting the odds.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during the match, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports news outlets. Early resolution may occur if one team scores and the match is abandoned or suspended before completion, depending on the platform's specific rules for such scenarios.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift trader expectations about scoring patterns and early-game momentum. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or betting syndicates may influence positioning if new tactical insights emerge. Weather conditions, venue factors, or recent form trends could also prompt repricing. As kickoff approaches, late money flowing into one side typically accelerates price movement, while any official announcements about player availability or match conditions may trigger sharp volatility in this market.