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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Which team will score first: Chapecoense or Flamengo?

Volume:
$1,569

CR Flamengo RJ

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 9:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

CR Flamengo RJ

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$777
N/A
N/A
$662
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CR Flamengo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chapecoense SC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the first-team-to-score market for the Chapecoense vs. Flamengo Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for July 22, 2026. The market resolves based on which team (if any) scores the first goal during the match, with three possible outcomes: Chapecoense, Flamengo, or Neither.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket limits resolution scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time. This creates a potential outcome divergence if the match requires extra time to determine a winner.Hero tip: If backing a team on Polymarket, you are betting only on first goal in regulation + stoppage. If backing on Kalshi, you are betting on first goal in the entire match. In a 0-0 draw at 90+5 minutes that goes to extra time, Polymarket resolves Neither while Kalshi resolves based on who scores in extra time. Assess tournament format and team fatigue to estimate extra time probability.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: First goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts explicitly excluded. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if unavailable.
  • Kalshi: First goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. No explicit exclusion of extra time. Resolution appears to follow official match records.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CR Flamengo, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Flamengo" if CR Flamengo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If Chapecoense SC records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Chapecoense SC vs CR Flamengo RJ professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If CR Flamengo RJ records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Chapecoense SC vs CR Flamengo RJ professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Chapecoense SC vs CR Flamengo RJ professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive odds from continuous trader activity and supply-demand dynamics. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in mainstream events. For niche or forward-looking events, prediction markets can reveal consensus views that sportsbooks haven't yet priced in. Comparing both venues helps you identify value and understand how different communities assess the same outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, risk appetites, and information sets. Polymarket and Kalshi may have varying fee structures, user interfaces, and regulatory frameworks that influence how participants price outcomes. Timing differences in order flow, regional trader concentration, and platform-specific liquidity pools can also create temporary divergences. Additionally, traders on one venue may have access to different news or analysis, leading to slightly different probability assessments. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between platforms, but short-term price differences offer opportunities for alert traders monitoring both venues.

Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly shift odds, as can lineup announcements closer to kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day may affect play style and scoring likelihood. Breaking news about roster changes, managerial decisions, or tactical shifts can trigger sharp repricing. As the match approaches, each confirmed detail typically tightens the market and reduces uncertainty. Live betting activity during the first few minutes of play often reflects early momentum, so watching early action can help you gauge whether pre-match consensus holds or shifts dramatically.