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$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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61%

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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chapecoense vs Flamengo?

Volume:
$729,893

Flamengo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 10:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320,653
N/A
N/A
$232,681
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CR Flamengo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$183,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chapecoense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$143,870
N/A
N/A
$99,457
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,530
N/A
N/A
$31,175
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Brazilian Série A soccer match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CR Flamengo scheduled for July 22, 2026. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a leading probability of 99.9% for CR Flamengo to win after 90 minutes. Resolution will be determined by official results published on the CBF website. The match result on July 22, 2026 will be the key catalyst to watch for final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Chapecoense win, Flamengo win, and tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-predictive.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market. It violates basic binary market logic by assigning the same resolution (YES) to all possible outcomes. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead, which correctly partition the outcome space and provide genuine predictive value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three distinct binary markets: (1) Chapecoense win resolves YES only if Chapecoense wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise (or YES if canceled with no makeup); (3) Flamengo win resolves YES only if Flamengo wins, NO otherwise. Resolution source is official CBF statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Chapecoense wins...then resolves to Yes. If Flamengo wins...then resolves to Yes. If Tie...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers the same resolution, making the market non-functional as a prediction instrument.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CR Flamengo.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Chapecoense vs Flamengo professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Chapecoense win, Flamengo win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Chapecoense vs. Flamengo match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues for event contracts. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this matchup in real time, with combined volume of $729,893. The cross-platform view lets you compare how each venue's participants assess the result, revealing consensus strength or divergence in trader sentiment. Both platforms settle based on the verified match result, making this an efficient way to track aggregate market conviction as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are peer-to-peer exchanges where traders set prices based on their collective beliefs. This market reflects real-time trader conviction without a built-in margin, often making prediction market prices more responsive to new information. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal where public opinion diverges from bookmaker pricing, though both ultimately reflect expectations about the match result.

Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any off-field developments involving either club can shift trader sentiment significantly. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence expectations. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster updates or tactical announcements often trigger sharp price moves. Monitoring sports media, official team communications, and betting market activity across both platforms will help you anticipate and react to shifts in this market's pricing.