TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Ass Naval 1º de Maio and Felgueiras in the Round 2 of the Taca de Portugal. The result determines which team progresses further in the tournament based on the match's final standing.
The event has two possible outcomes, each corresponding to one of the competing teams advancing past the other in the specified soccer match. If Ass Naval 1º de Maio advances past Felgueiras, the 'Ass Naval 1º de Maio advances' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Felgueiras advances past Ass Naval 1º de Maio, the 'Felgueiras advances' market resolves to Yes. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and the event organizer.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market incorporates new information and diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, allowing traders to enter and exit positions at any time. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a liquid and efficient market for predicting the result of the Ass Naval vs Felgueiras match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ass Naval 1º de Maio vs Felgueiras match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the Sep 19, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analysis, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could indicate private information or a strong conviction about the likely outcome, prompting others to adjust their positions and impacting the odds.