TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
HKG
- Polymarket
HKG - Polymarket
1W
News
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Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 5:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Hong Kong and Malaysia scheduled for September 24 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in Asian Games Men. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong will be considered correct if Hong Kong is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Malaysia will be considered correct if Malaysia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Hong Kong and Malaysia scheduled for September 24 2026 at 1:00 AM ET in Asian Games Men. The outcome corresponding to Hong Kong will be considered correct if Hong Kong is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Malaysia will be considered correct if Malaysia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each toss result. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of active traders and the information they bring to bear.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the coin toss—whether Hong Kong or Malaysia wins the toss, or if it results in a draw—will be used to determine the winning share(s). The outcome will be determined by the official result announced by the event organizers, and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome(s) will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices.
Any news or information related to the teams or the coin toss itself could influence trading activity. For example, reports about the condition of key players involved in the toss, or even weather conditions that might affect the toss procedure, could all lead to shifts in probabilities. Unexpected announcements from the event organizers, or even changes in public sentiment, could also move this market. Ultimately, any factor that alters traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome has the potential to impact prices.