TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Asian Games 2026: Men's Baseball Gold Winner
predict

Who will win Men's Baseball at the Asian Games 2026?

Volume:
$2,575

South Korea

 - Predict

South Korea - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:57 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

South Korea

View
65%
Yes 65¢No 35¢
—
N/A
$1,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 5d
Yes
predict

Japan

View
14%
Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢
—
N/A
$972
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 5d
No
predict

Philippines

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 5d
No
predict

China

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 5d
No
predict

Chinese Taipei

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 5d
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Baseball at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Baseball, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Baseball competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.

Predict

The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Baseball at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Baseball, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Baseball competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, this dashboard tracks the current odds for each potential gold medalist in the Asian Games baseball competition, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,575. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding the event. The dashboard focuses solely on data from Predict for this particular market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals rather than relying on a few experts. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, which may cause them to diverge from this market. It’s common to see differences in probabilities assigned to the same outcome, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likelihood of each team winning the gold medal. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view.

On Predict, this market is priced through a mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of each share reflects the collective probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. Higher demand for shares in a particular team drives up the price, indicating increased confidence in their chances of winning. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and provide a forecast of the most likely winner.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the gold medal in Men's Baseball at the 2026 Asian Games will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the Asian Games organizers. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting information on Predict following the conclusion of the event.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Major injuries to key players on leading teams would undoubtedly impact their chances and cause a reassessment of probabilities. Unexpected results in pre-Games exhibition matches or qualifying tournaments could also serve as strong signals. Additionally, news regarding team coaching changes or internal dynamics could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any geopolitical events impacting the participation of certain countries could lead to substantial movement in this market. This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting.