TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:54 PM EST
Predict
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in 5x5 Men's Basketball at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in 5x5 Men's Basketball, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The 5x5 Men's Basketball competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in 5x5 Men's Basketball at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in 5x5 Men's Basketball, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The 5x5 Men's Basketball competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements are driven by the collective actions of traders responding to news, analysis, and their own assessments of the teams’ chances.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, following the conclusion of the Men's 5x5 Basketball Gold Medal game at the 2026 Asian Games. The outcome will be determined by the official results reported by the Asian Games organizers, and verified against credible public reporting. The team declared the winner by the official governing body will be the winning outcome for this market. The resolution will reflect the officially recognized gold medalist, ensuring a clear and verifiable result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major injuries to key players on leading teams would likely shift the odds. Unexpected results in pre-Games exhibition matches or qualifying tournaments could also influence trader sentiment. Any news regarding team dynamics, coaching changes, or strategic adjustments could also move the market. Furthermore, geopolitical events or unforeseen circumstances affecting team participation could create volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 4, 2026.