TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

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30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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A's vs Tampa Bay
kalshi
predict

Who will win A's vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$2,710,602

Tampa Bay

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 9:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,214,881
N/A
N/A
$708,299
Settled
Yes
predict

Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$70,966
$56,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

A's

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,439,713
N/A
N/A
$827,752
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Oakland Athletics and the Tampa Bay Rays. Currently, the consensus probability favors an Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays win at 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body, or a consensus of credible reporting if official statistics aren’t available within 24 hours. Given the discrepancy in resolution dates between platforms – specifically Kalshi referencing a 2026 game – closely monitor the resolution rules and the game scheduled for September 16th at 6:40PM ET to understand how this market will ultimately settle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game date in 2026, while the Predict market refers to a game on September 16th of the current year.Hero tip: The Kalshi market appears to be referencing a game in the future (2026). Focus your trading activity on the Predict market, as it reflects the actual game date.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: The market resolves to 'Athletics' if they win the game on September 16 at 6:40PM ET, or to 'Tampa Bay Rays' if they win. Tie or cancellation results in a 50-50 split. "In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET..."
  • kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if the A's win the game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, or 'Yes' if Tampa Bay wins. "If A's wins the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game scheduled for September 16, 2026, at 6:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for both teams are separate, each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the A's vs Tampa Bay game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $2,710,602, with $2,508,307 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the potential results, aggregating predictions from different sources. The dashboard visualizes how traders are pricing the likelihood of each outcome, offering a dynamic assessment of expectations as new information becomes available. It’s a great way to see where the crowd stands on this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient pricing, although discrepancies can still occur. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for trading of probabilities *after* the initial odds are set, reflecting evolving information and sentiment, something sportsbooks typically don't offer to the same degree. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting.