TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on individual team run totals in the A's vs San Francisco game on June 25, 2026. Bettors can predict whether the Giants or the A's will each score above various run thresholds independently.
Resolution depends on the individual run totals scored by each team in the A's vs San Francisco game originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. San Francisco outcomes measure whether the Giants score above thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 runs (resolving Yes at 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8+ runs respectively). A's outcomes measure whether Oakland scores above thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 runs (resolving Yes at 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8+ runs respectively). Each team's performance is evaluated independently based on the final official score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasting. Over time, prediction markets can reveal where professional and casual bettors disagree with bookmakers, though both sources provide valuable signals for assessing the likely outcome of the A's and San Francisco matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens accordingly. Your entry and exit prices depend on the liquidity available at any given moment and the orders already posted by other participants on the platform.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the A's and San Francisco game concludes and the final team total is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to determine which side of the prediction proved accurate. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on pre-game analysis, injury reports, weather conditions, and other factors that traders believe will influence the final score.
Key injuries to star players, lineup changes, or roster updates can significantly shift expectations for offensive output. Weather forecasts—particularly wind conditions at the stadium—often impact run totals in baseball. Recent team performance trends, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Additionally, any late-breaking news about player availability or strategic adjustments closer to game time may trigger sharp moves in this market as informed traders react to new information.