TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 12:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market allows bettors to wager on individual team run totals for both the Oakland A's and San Francisco Giants in their June 23, 2026 matchup. Separate outcomes track whether each team will exceed various run-scoring thresholds.
The A's vs San Francisco game scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run production. San Francisco's scoring is assessed against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while the A's scoring is assessed against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each team-threshold combination represents a separate market outcome. Resolution occurs based on whether each team's final run total exceeds its respective threshold, with Yes resolution if the team surpasses the stated threshold and No resolution otherwise. The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the result.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital to forecast the outcome. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where traders and bookmakers disagree on the likely team total, offering insight into potential value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders, with bids and asks converging toward an equilibrium. As new information surfaces—injury reports, lineup changes, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay responsive to real-world developments leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the game concludes and the final team totals are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and game developments unfold. Resolution happens automatically once the official result is recorded, settling all positions based on the actual combined points scored by both teams.
Several catalysts can shift this market significantly before Jun 24, 2026. Key player injuries or roster changes announced by either team will likely trigger sharp repricing, as will weather updates or venue conditions that affect scoring pace. Betting line movements from sportsbooks, recent offensive or defensive performance trends, and lineup confirmations closer to game time all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about team strategy, coaching decisions, or player availability can create sudden volatility, rewarding traders who react quickly to new information.