TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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A's vs San Francisco
kalshi
predict

A's vs San Francisco

Volume:
$12,322,658

A's

 - Kalshi

A's - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 6:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

A's

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,172,697
N/A
N/A
$2,722,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Francisco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,133,416
N/A
N/A
$2,448,933
Settled
No
predict

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$16,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Oakland Athletics and San Francisco Giants. Across Kalshi and Predict, the consensus probability that the A's win stands at 68.0%, with San Francisco at 31.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the professional baseball game scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. Watch for any postponements or schedule changes announced before the game's start time on June 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (A's win and San Francisco win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified. Predict uses standard binary team-outcome resolution.Hero tip: This is a critical specification error on Kalshi. Before trading, request clarification on whether one outcome should resolve to No, or if this is a different market type entirely. Predict's market is safe to trade and uses standard MLB resolution via official statistics with 24-hour publication window.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes resolution. Logic: A's win = Yes, San Francisco win = Yes. This creates no No outcome path and violates binary market structure.
  • Predict: Standard binary resolution: Athletics win = Athletics, San Francisco win = San Francisco Giants. Includes tie/cancellation handling (50-50 split) and official statistics as primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event concerns the A's vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. Each team has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that team wins the game. If the game is postponed or delayed, the relevant markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled entirely or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with established resolution procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for June 25 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—what participants genuinely believe will happen. Prediction market odds often incorporate real-time information faster and can diverge significantly from sportsbook spreads, especially as game day approaches or breaking news emerges. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether one side is undervalued or overvalued relative to the other's assessment.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Kalshi and Predict may weight recent team performance, injury reports, or public sentiment differently based on their user base's composition. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one platform lags in incorporating new information. Monitoring both prices helps you identify temporary mispricings and understand which factors each community is prioritizing as the matchup unfolds.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head historical matchups. Public betting trends and sharp money flow can also shift odds significantly if one side attracts heavy action. Weather forecasts, travel delays, or last-minute roster decisions often trigger volatility in the final hours. Media narratives and expert predictions may sway casual traders, while institutional activity can signal informed positioning. Monitoring sports news outlets and team social media alongside this market gives you early warning of moves before prices fully adjust.