TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team performance in the June 27, 2026 game between the A's and Los Angeles Angels. Bettors can predict whether each team will score above specific run thresholds during the game.
Resolution depends on the runs scored by each team individually in the A's vs Los Angeles A game on June 27, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. Los Angeles A outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores 2 or more, 3 or more, 4 or more, 5 or more, 6 or more, 7 or more, or 8 or more runs respectively. A's outcomes resolve to Yes if Oakland scores 2 or more, 3 or more, 4 or more, 5 or more, 6 or more, 7 or more, or 8 or more runs respectively. The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines each team's run total for resolution purposes.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real financial exposure to accuracy. This market may show materially different odds than major sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or if one venue attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability that the A's will hit or exceed the specified team total. As new trades execute, the market price adjusts instantly, and traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads remain and how quickly prices respond to breaking news or late-game developments.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the Oakland Athletics' total points scored in the matchup, verified against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports data providers. Traders holding shares aligned with the final result receive their payout, while those on the wrong side of the prediction lose their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion.
Key catalysts for this market include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and betting-market activity at major sportsbooks. Lineup adjustments or trades involving star players can shift expectations for offensive output significantly. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage, and matchups against specific opposing defenses also influence scoring forecasts. Breaking news about player health or coaching decisions often triggers sharp price movements as informed traders react faster than the broader market.