TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball market covers individual team run-scoring performance in the A's vs Los Angeles A game on June 26, 2026. Bettors predict whether each team will exceed various run thresholds during the full game.
This event encompasses run-scoring outcomes for both the A's and Los Angeles A in their June 26, 2026 matchup. Each team has separate run-total thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. A team's outcome resolves to Yes if that team scores at least one run more than the stated threshold (e.g., 2+ runs for a 1.5 threshold, 3+ runs for a 2.5 threshold, and so forth up to 8+ runs for a 7.5 threshold). Resolution is based on the official final score of the completed game.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may price the A's scoring output differently than major sportsbooks, offering traders an alternative view grounded in decentralized price discovery rather than bookmaker margins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the consensus of active traders at any given moment, with each contract representing a stake on whether the A's will score above or below a specified threshold. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the market's lifecycle.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the A's total points scored in the matchup, verified against credible public sources reporting the official game result. Resolution occurs automatically after the event is finalized and the winning side is determined based on whether the team's total clears the specified threshold.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, and lineup decisions can shift trader expectations about offensive output. Recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and opponent defensive strength also influence pricing. Breaking news about player availability, weather conditions on game day, or coaching strategy adjustments may trigger sharp moves in this market. Public injury reports and pregame commentary from analysts often catalyze volatility as new information reaches traders.