TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Oakland Athletics will win their Major League Baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels. Across Kalshi and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows 97.0% probability for the A's victory in the matchup scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT. The resolution source is the official result of the professional baseball game on that date. Watch for any roster changes, injury announcements, or weather updates in the days leading up to first pitch on June 28, 2026.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the A's vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard resolution procedures.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for June 28 at 3:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and user bases, which naturally produces price variation. Kalshi and Predict may weight recent team performance, injury reports, or public sentiment differently based on their active participants. Regulatory frameworks and contract design also differ—one platform's mechanics might incentivize earlier or later trading, shifting odds. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but friction costs and platform-specific rules prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both prices helps you identify temporary mispricings and understand where consensus is strongest.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team performance streaks, and weather conditions on game day. Trading volume and media attention often spike when major players are ruled out or when one team enters on a hot streak. Public betting trends and sharp money flows can also shift odds significantly in the final hours before first pitch. Line movement on sportsbooks may trigger arbitrage activity here, and any unexpected roster moves or coaching decisions could reshape trader expectations. Monitor sports news closely, as this market reacts quickly to developments that affect either team's perceived chances.