TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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A's vs Chicago WS: Extra Innings
kalshi
predict

Will the A's vs Chicago White Sox game go to extra innings on July 11, 2026?

Volume:
$11,469

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

 - Predict

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 5:10 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$813
$9,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Game goes to extra innings

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,399
N/A
N/A
$1,816
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks two distinct prediction markets about the same MLB game between the Oakland Athletics and Chicago White Sox scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. The 'predict' platform offers a standard moneyline market (Athletics win vs. White Sox win), while the 'kalshi' platform offers a binary Yes/No market on whether the game goes to extra innings. These are fundamentally different events with different resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Event Scope Mismatch - Predict platform resolves a moneyline (game winner), while Kalshi platform resolves a binary extra innings occurrence. These are distinct, non-overlapping events.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with independent resolution paths. A market participant can win on Kalshi (extra innings Yes) while losing on Predict (if their chosen team loses in extra innings). Monitor official MLB box score for final score and inning count separately.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Moneyline market resolving to Athletics or Chicago White Sox based on final game winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Resolution source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • kalshi: Binary Yes/No market on extra innings occurrence. Resolves Yes if game goes to extra innings, No if game ends in regulation. No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or tie scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If A's and Chicago WS go to extra innings in the A's vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 11 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate real-time trader beliefs through buy-sell dynamics. Prediction market prices often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced probability estimates because traders have direct financial incentive to price accurately. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate additional factors like sharp-money action or closing-line adjustments. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd expects extra innings more or less frequently than the betting market does.

Kalshi and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, and smaller liquidity pools can amplify price swings from large trades. Additionally, the exact wording of the outcome condition—whether framed as "extra innings" or a specific game duration—can subtly influence how traders interpret edge cases. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts as new information emerges closer to game time.