TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:10 PM EST
Predict
This event group tracks two distinct prediction markets about the same MLB game between the Oakland Athletics and Chicago White Sox scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT. The 'predict' platform offers a standard moneyline market (Athletics win vs. White Sox win), while the 'kalshi' platform offers a binary Yes/No market on whether the game goes to extra innings. These are fundamentally different events with different resolution criteria.
If A's and Chicago WS go to extra innings in the A's vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 11 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, and smaller liquidity pools can amplify price swings from large trades. Additionally, the exact wording of the outcome condition—whether framed as "extra innings" or a specific game duration—can subtly influence how traders interpret edge cases. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts as new information emerges closer to game time.