TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between the A's and Chicago is scheduled for early June 2026, and this event concerns whether either team will score during the opening inning of play.
On Kalshi, the A's vs Chicago C: First Inning Run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent implied probability of a run scoring in the first inning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares based on their belief in the outcome, and the market price continuously adjusts as new orders flow in. Kalshi's order-book model means you can see live bids and asks, allowing you to trade at your preferred price or accept the current market rate. The contract settles to 100 if a run scores in the first inning, or 0 if no run is scored, making pricing transparent and directly tied to the binary outcome.
The A's vs Chicago C: First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, which corresponds to the completion of the first inning of the game. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses home plate during that inning. Once the first inning concludes, the result is final and the contract settles accordingly. Traders should monitor official game feeds and league sources to confirm the inning result, as any scoring during the first inning—whether by the A's, Chicago C, or both teams—triggers a YES resolution.
Several factors can shift the market price before the first inning begins. Lineup announcements, especially the insertion or removal of power hitters, directly affect early-inning scoring odds. Pitcher changes or bullpen news can alter expectations for run production. Weather conditions—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—influence ball carry and offensive output. Injury reports or last-minute roster moves may reshape team composition. Historical matchup data and recent team form in early innings also drive trader sentiment. As game time approaches, real-time updates on field conditions, umpire assignments, and any late scratches can prompt rapid repricing on Kalshi.