TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC - More Markets
Volume:
$410,792
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the AS Roma vs. Juventus FC Serie A match scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets include total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and spread betting on goal differential margins for both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use mathematically equivalent but linguistically different threshold expressions (strict vs. inclusive inequality). Both resolve to identical goal counts, but the phrasing divergence creates audit risk if either platform misinterprets its own rules.Hero Tip:
Monitor settlement closely. Both platforms cite legaseriea.it as the official source. Confirm the final combined goal total is recorded identically on both platforms. The divergence is semantic, not substantive, but document the exact final score at settlement time to prevent disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Uses strict inequality phrasing ('more than X'). For O/U 4.5: resolves Yes if combined goals > 4.5 (i.e., 5+). For O/U 1.5: resolves Yes if combined goals > 1.5 (i.e., 2+). Quote: 'If Juventus and Roma collectively score more than 4.5 total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Uses inclusive phrasing ('or more'). For O/U 4.5: resolves Over if combined goals >= 5. For O/U 1.5: resolves Over if combined goals >= 2. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if AS Roma and Juventus FC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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