Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 19, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (UEFA); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Roma win (YES on Polymarket Roma win market and Kalshi Roma market), Bologna win (YES on Polymarket Bologna win market and Kalshi Bologna market), or Draw (YES on Polymarket draw market and Kalshi Tie market).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES, while Polymarket Roma and Bologna win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not explicitly address full cancellation but follow standard no-play protocols.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a later date.
Full Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as a non-decisive outcome), while Roma and Bologna win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution rules do not explicitly address this scenario.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official governing body/organizer statistics. If not published within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 19, 2026, with official confirmation from UEFA or event organizers within 2 hours thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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