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Closed: Sep 16, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the result of the second half of a Greek Cup soccer match between AS Áris Thessaloníkis and GS Markó. The markets determine whether Áris, Markó, or a draw will occur based on goals scored specifically in the second half of regulation time plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Greek Cup game between AS Áris Thessaloníkis and GS Markó, scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Áris Thessaloníkis" if AS Áris Thessaloníkis score more goals than GS Markó in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AS Áris Thessaloníkis and GS Markó score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "GS Markó" if GS Markó score more goals than AS Áris Thessaloníkis in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event determines the winner of the Aris Thessaloniki vs Marko professional Greek Cup soccer game scheduled for September 16, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: Aris Thessaloniki win, Marko win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the specified time frame, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie at that point, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This market, concerning the Áris vs. Markó second half, may show different probabilities than a sportsbook, reflecting the collective insight of informed traders. The difference can be particularly noticeable when public opinion diverges from expert analysis.