TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first set between two tennis players in a high-stakes tournament match. The result depends entirely on which athlete secures the victory in the initial set of their contest. Outcomes are determined by live performance, with specific guidelines for handling disruptions like injuries or postponements.
If Arthur Fery wins set 1 in the Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorenzo Musetti wins set 1 in the Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records — specifically, which player wins the first set. Once the match concludes and the result is reported by authoritative sports news outlets and official tennis associations, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several signals could shift the odds in this market before it resolves. Key player injuries, recent form or performance in warm-up matches, weather conditions on match day, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant news — such as a player withdrawing or a last-minute change in the lineup — may cause rapid movements in the market price as participants reassess their positions.