TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between two prominent clubs. It focuses solely on the difference in goals scored during the standard playing time, excluding any additional periods. Outcomes depend on whether the winning team achieves specific goal differentials.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for determining outcomes in the Arsenal versus Manchester City professional Community Shield match scheduled for August 16, 2026. All resolutions are based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct criteria define potential Yes resolutions: Arsenal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Arsenal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Manchester City winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Manchester City winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion operates independently, and the market resolves to Yes if any one of these conditions is met. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, noting that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match data — specifically the final score after regulation time — and will be settled automatically by Kalshi once the information is publicly available and irreversible.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting pitch quality, and tactical announcements from coaches can all shift this market. High-profile previews from sports media, fan polls showing unexpected support swings, and even early in-game scoring in live matches often cause rapid price adjustments. Any new information that changes perceptions of likely outcomes will be reflected in real-time odds.