TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Arsenal will win against Manchester City in their upcoming professional Community Shield soccer match during regulation time. On Kalshi, the current probability that Arsenal wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time stands at 98.0%, with Manchester City winning in the same timeframe at 1.0%. The result will be determined by the match's official outcome on August 16, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Arsenal vs Manchester City professional Community Shield soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Arsenal wins, the 'Reg Time: Arsenal' market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City wins, the 'Reg Time: Manchester City' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Reg Time: Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The markets are independent and resolve based on the specific conditions outlined for each outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks, driving the odds based on supply and demand. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants, adjusted dynamically as new information emerges. Trading volume of $736,376 indicates liquidity and interest levels, while price fluctuations reveal real-time shifts in market sentiment leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined solely by the match’s regulation-time moneyline outcome, reflecting whether bookmakers and official sources confirm a win for either team or a draw within the standard 90 minutes, without extra time or penalties influencing the result.
Injuries to key players, tactical announcements, weather conditions, or shifting rankings could all move this market as the match nears. High-profile interviews, recent performance trends, and even early pre-match betting surges may cause odds to adjust rapidly. Traders on Kalshi will react to any credible news that impacts perceptions of each team’s chances, making this market sensitive to both on-field developments and off-field sentiment in the run-up to Aug 16, 2026.