TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 1:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Arsenal signs Vinícius Júnior on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Vinícius Júnior, Real Madrid and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Arsenal signs Vinícius Júnior on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Vinícius Júnior, Real Madrid and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Vinícius Júnior officially joins Arsenal before the deadline, the market settles in favor of the signing outcome. If the transfer does not materialize by that date, the market resolves on the opposite result. The resolution depends on official club announcements and widely reported confirmations from reliable sports news sources.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including official transfer statements, media reports on negotiations, player interviews, or social media hints from involved parties. Major developments like a confirmed bid, a counteroffer, or a public denial from either club would directly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, injuries, club financial updates, or competing offers from other teams may also cause volatility. Any credible news source covering these aspects can dramatically change the market’s implied probability.