TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Arsenal to sign Vinícius Júnior by September 1, 2026
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Arsenal to sign Vinícius Júnior by September 1, 2026

Volume:
$1,484

Arsenal to sign Vinícius Júnior by September 1, 2026

 - Limitless

Arsenal to sign Vinícius Júnior by September 1, 2026 - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 1:13 PM EST

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Arsenal to sign Vinícius Júnior by September 1, 2026

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50
$1,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Arsenal signs Vinícius Júnior on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Vinícius Júnior, Real Madrid and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if it is officially confirmed that Arsenal signs Vinícius Júnior on a permanent transfer on or before September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." This market's resolution sources will be official announcements from Vinícius Júnior, Real Madrid and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Limitless, the Arsenal Vinícius Júnior signing market dashboard shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for tracking trader sentiment. It reflects the current probability that Arsenal will sign Vinícius Júnior by the deadline, updated continuously as bets are placed. The dashboard visualizes how market participants price this potential transfer, offering insight into collective expectations. With a total volume of $1,484, it captures the trading activity surrounding this high-profile soccer rumor.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Vinícius Júnior officially joins Arsenal before the deadline, the market settles in favor of the signing outcome. If the transfer does not materialize by that date, the market resolves on the opposite result. The resolution depends on official club announcements and widely reported confirmations from reliable sports news sources.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including official transfer statements, media reports on negotiations, player interviews, or social media hints from involved parties. Major developments like a confirmed bid, a counteroffer, or a public denial from either club would directly impact trader sentiment. Additionally, injuries, club financial updates, or competing offers from other teams may also cause volatility. Any credible news source covering these aspects can dramatically change the market’s implied probability.