TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises six related markets on the Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC FA Cup match scheduled for February 15 at 11:30 AM ET. Markets cover total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), both teams scoring, and a -2.5 goal spread. All markets reference the official final score from thefa.com within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All six markets on Polymarket share identical postponement, cancellation, and incompletion protocols, with consistent reference to thefa.com as the authoritative source and 90-minute regular time scope.
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on thefa.com (The Football Association)Core resolution logic:
- O/U 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if combined goals < 2
- O/U 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if combined goals < 3
- O/U 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if combined goals < 4
- O/U 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if combined goals < 5
- Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each, No if either team scores 0
- Spread -2.5: Arsenal wins if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise Wigan wins
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; no early resolution
- Match Cancellation (No Reschedule): All markets resolve 50-50
- Incomplete Match: Resolution follows the official final score published on thefa.com
- Scope Limitation: Only goals in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on thefa.com, or immediately upon cancellation with no rescheduled dateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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